Bracketology – March 11th, 2011

Alright, big day in College Hoops.

Kansas almost slipped up against OK State, but escaped with a narrow 1 point victory. Following that game Colorado upset Kansas State for a third time this year. Colorado as now moved very close to lock status, in fact I’m almost inclined to say the Buffs are definitely in. K State might drop a bit from the loss, but they should be in for a decent seed.

Kemba Walker hit a big shot against Pittsburgh to upset the Panthers. Its possible that the Panthers lose their #1 seed now. If Notre Dame wins the Big East and Duke or UNC sneaks ahead of them, then they are probably out. Both Notre Dame and Pitt could earn the #1 seed. Kansas is a little vulnerable still too, so they could also get bumped from the 1 line too.

Miami and Virginia played a wild one in the first ACC tournament game. Virginia had a ten point lead with 40 seconds left and it disappeared in all of about the next twenty five seconds, before they went to overtime and Miami came out on top. I don’t think I’ve seen a team blow a lead like that in a very long time, simply an amazing collapse.

UAB got upset by ECU, and now the Blazers go from a comfortable conference leader to the wrong side of the bubble. UAB is not dead in the water, but they need teams to lose ahead of them because for now they are out. Also in CUSA, Memphis beat Southern Miss to advance to the semifinals. Memphis still has work to do, and might need to win the conference now that ECU doesn’t present a quality win opportunity. UTEP advanced as well and could matchup with Memphis is the final. UTEP, Memphis and UAB are all alive on the bubble, but its very possible only one does.

Michigan State came back to beat Iowa today and avoid a disaster. Michigan State is probably safe, even with a likely loss tomorrow, but its very very close. After tomorrow Michigan State’s chances will either be near 100, or hinging on the other bubble teams.

Georgia beat Auburn and now moves on to the Alabama game. Georgia could lose the game and be in the same position as Michigan State, but Alabama can not lose and keep any hope alive.

USC beat Cal to move in the Pac Ten tourney. USC needs more wins and it will take atleast one, probably two more to get them into the field.

New Mexico beat Colorado State to advance on to play BYU again tomorrow. Colorado State is now NIT bound, and New Mexico will probably still need to win the Mountain West, even with a third BYU win tomorrow.

(Click Below For More Plus Predictions)

Penn State beat Indiana to keep any hope alive, but they need to beat Wisconsin and Purdue to reach the Big Ten finals to garner an atlarge bid opportunity.

Tennessee beat Arkansas to move on to play Florida. The Vols should be a lock now, as a loss won’t knock them out of the tournament.

UCLA got upset by Oregon, and that will hurt their seeding now as that is a bad loss.

Finally, Virginia Tech beat Georgia Tech to advance to play Florida State. The Hokies avoided a season ending loss, and now will get a chance to lock up a bid tomorrow against FSU. A loss to the Noles will keep the Hokies right on the bubble and make them sweat it out down to the last second, per usual.

Washington beat Washington State to lock up their bid and likely knock out the Cougars.

Tomorrow’s games to watch:

Colorado vs Kansas

New Mexico vs BYU

Michigan State vs Purdue

USC vs Arizona

San Jose State vs Utah State

Georgia vs Alabama

Boston College vs Clemson

Michigan vs Illinois

ECU vs Memphis

Rhode Island vs Richmond

Weber State vs St. Mary’s

Locks in my opinion:

Big East (11):

Pittsburgh, Louisville, Notre Dame, UConn, St. John’s, West Virginia, Marquette, Cincinnati, Syracuse, Villanova, Georgetown

ACC (3):

UNC, Duke, Florida State

Big Ten (4):

Wisconsin, Ohio State, Illinois, Purdue

Big 12 (5):

Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas, Texas A&M

Pac Ten (3):

Washington, UCLA, Arizona

Mountain West (3):

UNLV, BYU, San Diego State

SEC (4):

Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida, Tennessee

Colonial (2):

George Mason, Old Dominion

A10 (2):

Xavier, Temple

All other conference are locked it with atleast one team: 22 Conferences and Bids (including five with multi-bid opportunities)

Locked Bids: 59

Bubble spots available: 8

Teams Alive, 13 – 2 automatic bids=11): Georgia, Clemson, Boston College, Michigan, Michigan State,  USC, Richmond, Alabama, Memphis, UAB, (UTEP),  (Utah State),  St. Mary’s

(***)=projected conference champ receiving auto bid

TAKE A LOOK AT THE ACTUAL BRACKET IN THIS LINK BELOW!!!

Bracket March 11th 2011

1 Seeds-

Ohio State

Kansas

Pittsburgh

Notre Dame

2 Seeds-

Duke

BYU

San Diego State

North Carolina

3 Seeds-

Texas

Purdue

Syracuse

Wisconsin

4 Seeds-

Louisville

Florida

UConn

Kentucky

5 Seeds-

Arizona

Georgetown

St. John’s

Vanderbilt

6 Seeds-

West Virginia

Cincinnati

Xavier

Texas A&M

7 Seeds-

Temple

Kansas State

Missouri

UNLV

8 Seeds-

George Mason

Florida State

Old Dominion

Villanova

9 Seeds-

Utah State

Illinois

UCLA

Marquette

10 Seeds-

Washington

Tennessee

Boston College

Richmond

11 Seeds-

Gonzaga

Georgia

Michigan

Colorado

12 Seeds-

Butler

Clemson

UTEP

Virginia Tech

Michigan State

St. Mary’s

13 Seeds-

Belmont

Harvard

Oakland

Indiana State

14 Seeds-

Bucknell

Long Island

Wofford

Long Beach State

15 Seeds-

St. Peter’s

Kent State

Morehead State

Northern Colorado

16 Seeds-

Boston University

UNC Asheville

Arkansas Little Rock

Texas Southern

McNeese State

Bethune Cookman

Last Four In-

Clemson

Virginia Tech

Michigan State

St. Mary’s

The Four Out-

Alabama

USC

UAB

Memphis

Teams with Maybe a slight Pulse but very unlikely to grab an At-large-

Maryland

New Mexico

VCU

Washington State

Penn State

Mississippi

Miami?

Northwestern?

Bids by Conference:

Big East-11

ACC-6

Big 12-6

Big Ten-6

SEC-5

Pac Ten-3

A10-3

MWC-3

Colonial-2

WCC-2

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