Bracketology – March 10th, 2011
In today’s action the most important bubble games took place in the Big 12.
Nebraska started off the day but losing to Oklahoma State and ending their hopes of an atlarge bid. Nebraska is headed to the NIT, while Oklahoma State will look to run the table and win the Big 12 Tournament.
In the second game Colorado came back and snuck by Iowa State to stay alive. The Buffs didn’t impress anyone with their escape and will move to on to face Kansas State. Is it a must win for their tournament chances, I don’t think entirely. If they lose to K State then Colorado still has a shot, but not a great one. If they lose I’d put their chances below 50 percent. They will then have to patiently wait to see what other bubble teams do. Good news for them is they have eliminated fellow Big 12 competition Nebraska and Baylor from the equation already. If they beat K State, then they are almost definitely in.
The third game was Baylor and Oklahoma, a must win for the Bears, and it didn’t go as planned. The Bears got smacked around and they are now headed to the NIT as a result.
In the final Big 12 game Missouri took care of Texas Tech and moved on to the quarters.
In the Big East UConn started the day by taking care of Georgetown. This should help the Huskies seeding and bump down the Hoyas, who’ve struggled down the stretch.
Next was the St. John’s-Rutgers fiasco. Horrible officiating in this one led to a disastrous ending to the game where the refs simply neglected the final 1.7 seconds of the game. It’s a perfect example of what is wrong with officiating, and we are lucky that it happen in this game and under these circumstances. Luckily this game wasn’t deciding the fate of either team (no Rutgers wasn’t winning the Big East), and even with the correct ruling its is highly likely that Rutgers would have missed a last second shot. In the end we need to learn from this case and try to improve poor officiating, which is widespread throughout College Basketball and Football. We need to be tougher on refs who screw up like this and make sure they come prepared and we get the best refs out officiating in the biggest games.

This was Mike Rice's happy face on Wednesday
Cincinnati whipped South Florida and advanced before Marquette crawled back to beat West Virginia. If there was any doubt amongst bracketologists, its not now official Marquette is a lock and so is 11 Big East teams. Complain, cry or whatever about it, but its deserved and its going to happen.
In other action ECU upset UCF to end their run. Quite the fall for the Knights after the great start to the year. Marshall also advanced on, and the Thundering Hurd are a team that no one has mentioned this year, but is actually very good. They aren’t getting an atlarge bid, but deserve a shout out. Hopefully the selection committee will give them their due and send them to the NIT. Also Southern Miss advanced and kept their season alive. They are also a decent club that has gotten a little more buzz on the bubble, but I don’t think they have a chance to grab an atlarge still.
Long Island secured a bid in a thrilling overtime victory over Robert Morris. Long Island is an interesting team that with the right matchup could be a bit scary with their fast style of play.
Northern Colorado also punched their bid over Montana and will head to their first NCAA Tournament likely as a 15 or 16 seed.
Overall that was all for the day. Keep in mind Nebraska and Baylor are off the bubble now, shrinking it for those still alive. Tomorrow is a big day as the ACC, Big Ten, and SEC tournaments start and more bubble games to come in the Pac Ten, CUSA, Big East and MWC.
Tomorrow’s games to watch:
Oklahoma State vs Kansas
UConn vs Pittsburgh
Cincinnati vs Notre Dame
St John’s vs Syracuse
Colorado vs Kansas State
ECU vs UAB
Auburn vs Georgia
Wake Forest vs Boston College
Southern Miss vs Memphis
Cal vs USC
Iowa vs Michigan State
New Mexico vs Colorado State
Marshall vs UTEP
Tennessee vs Arkansas
Indiana vs Penn State
Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech
Washington vs Washington State
Locks in my opinion:
Big East (11):
Pittsburgh, Louisville, Notre Dame, UConn, St. John’s, West Virginia, Marquette, Cincinnati, Syracuse, Villanova, Georgetown
ACC (3):
UNC, Duke, Florida State
Big Ten (4):
Wisconsin, Ohio State, Illinois, Purdue
Big 12 (5):
Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas, Texas A&M
Pac Ten (3):
Washington, UCLA, Arizona
Mountain West (3):
UNLV, BYU, San Diego State
SEC (4):
Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida, Tennessee
Colonial (2):
George Mason, Old Dominion
A10 (2):
Xavier, Temple
All other conference are locked it with atleast one team: 22 Conferences and Bids (including five with multi-bid opportunities)
Locked Bids: 59
Bubble spots available: 9
Teams Alive, 17 – 2 automatic bids=15): Georgia, Clemson, Boston College, Michigan, Michigan State, Colorado, Washington State, USC, Colorado State, Richmond, Alabama, Memphis, (UAB), UTEP, (Utah State), St. Mary’s, VCU
(***)=projected conference champ receiving auto bid
TAKE A LOOK AT THE ACTUAL BRACKET IN THIS LINK BELOW!!!
1 Seeds-
Ohio State
Kansas
Pittsburgh
Notre Dame
2 Seeds-
Duke
BYU
San Diego State
North Carolina
3 Seeds-
Texas
Purdue
Syracuse
Wisconsin
4 Seeds-
Louisville
Florida
UConn
St. John’s
5 Seeds-
Arizona
Georgetown
Kentucky
Vanderbilt
6 Seeds-
West Virginia
Cincinnati
Xavier
Kansas State
7 Seeds-
Temple
Texas A&M
Missouri
UNLV
8 Seeds-
George Mason
UCLA
Old Dominion
Villanova
9 Seeds-
Utah State
Illinois
Florida State
Marquette
10 Seeds-
Washington
Tennessee
Boston College
Richmond
11 Seeds-
Gonzaga
Georgia
Michigan
Clemson
12 Seeds-
Butler
Michigan State
UAB
Virginia Tech
Colorado
St. Mary’s
13 Seeds-
Belmont
Harvard
Oakland
Indiana State
14 Seeds-
Bucknell
Long Island
Wofford
Long Beach State
15 Seeds-
St. Peter’s
Kent State
Morehead State
Northern Colorado
16 Seeds-
Boston University
UNC Asheville
Arkansas Little Rock
Texas Southern
McNeese State
Bethune Cookman
Last Four In-
Michigan State
Virginia Tech
St. Mary’s
Colorado
First Four Out-
Alabama
Memphis
USC
Washington State
Next Three Out-
UTEP
VCU
Colorado State
Also Considered:
NONE!
Bids by Conference:
Big East-11
ACC-6
Big 12-6
Big Ten-6
SEC-5
Pac Ten-3
A10-3
MWC-3
Colonial-2
WCC-2
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