Bracketology-February 25th, 2011
It’s Friday, and after a crazy week some teams have stepped up but many more have taken falls.
In my Wednesday night article I outlined all the action through then, but last night some important games of note took place.
Gonzaga upset St. Mary’s on the road, and I’ve put them back in the field as of today, but they are on thin ice. The Zags and St. Mary’s are both fairly equal in resume, so for them both to make it, they will both have to win out to a conference championship game. If they both can do that, then the loser of the championship game has a good shot of picking up one of the last bids.
Penn State beat Northwestern and stayed in the hunt. They play Ohio State at home tomorrow and if they can atleast not get embarrassed, then it won’t hurt them to lose. Obviously a win would be huge but I’m not sure that’s likely. The Nittany Lions have awful lot of losses and a few good wins, so if they don’t beat Ohio State they need to win some other games for sure.
The Horizon League took a big hit last night when Cleveland State and Valpo lost at home, putting their chances of an at-large bid near zero. If the Horizon wants to be a multi-bid league then one of those two better win the conference tournament while Butler sneaks in.
Marquette upset UConn and put themselves alot closer to locking up a bid. The Golden Eagles are the most vulnerable Big East team in the race for bids, but last night might have punched the ticket for 11 Big East teams dancing.
Florida beat Georgia, and put the Dawgs a little bit closer to the edge. For now they remain in with a solid resume, but they need to take care of business against bottom feeders South Carolina and LSU at home this week.
I read an article this morning on ESPN about Alabama’s at-large prospects and how Joey Brackets thinks they are close to locking it up. He has them as a ten seed and well into the field. I think Lunardi is very smart and knows more than most anybody in the world when it comes to these brackets, but I disagree. I have Alabama out still, barely, but I just don’t understand the fascination with them. Its been stated time and time again that your conference record doesn’t matter, and that your whole body of work does. Alabama might be 11-2 in the SEC, but I could name somewhere between 60-70 other teams in America that’d do the same with that schedule. Alabama has two wins against teams in or even close to the field. Add in Mississippi at home, and they have three top 100 wins. They have four bad losses on top of that. How can I value a win in the SEC East over a win in any of the mid majors? Auburn is Auburn, LSU is LSU, and they both stink. Add in Mississippi State and Arkansas who both aren’t good at all either, and there is one easy schedule. Alabama has Mississippi and Florida on the road this week, and finishes with Georgia at home, so they’ll have a chance to prove me wrong or right. If they go 1-2, and then don’t beat an NCAA tournament team from the SEC in the SEC tournament then I don’t know how they could be put in the field. I know I’m not alone in my feelings about Alabama, but Lunardi isn’t one who agrees. We’ll see soon enough.
This weekend sets up to be big for a lot of bubble teams, so be sure to check in afterwards and see where teams stand.
1 Seeds-
Ohio State
Duke
Pittsburgh
Texas
2 Seeds-
Kansas
San Diego State
BYU
Purdue
3 Seeds-
Notre Dame
Wisconsin
Georgetown
Florida
4 Seeds-
Louisville
Syracuse
UNC
Villanova
5 Seeds-
Vanderbilt
St. John’s
UConn
Texas A&M
6 Seeds-
Arizona
Kentucky
West Virginia
Missouri
7 Seeds-
Temple
Cincinnati
George Mason
Xavier
8 Seeds-
Old Dominion
UNLV
UCLA
Utah State
9 Seeds-
Tennessee
Washington
Florida State
Kansas State
10 Seeds-
Illinois
Marquette
Michigan State
Virginia Tech
11 Seeds-
Memphis
Butler
Georgia
Richmond
12 Seeds-
St. Mary’s
Gonzaga
Boston College
Clemson
Colorado State
Minnesota
13 Seeds-
Missouri State
Harvard
Belmont
Charleston
14 Seeds-
Vermont
Coastal Carolina
Oakland
Bucknell
15 Seeds-
Murray State
Kent State
Long Beach State
Fairfield
16 Seeds-
Texas Southern
Bethune Cookman
McNeese State
Florida Atlantic
Long Island
Montana
Last Four In-
Clemson
Boston College
Colorado State
Minnesota
Last Four Out-
Alabama
UAB
Southern Miss
Nebraska
Next Four Out-
Penn State
VCU
Maryland
Baylor
Others Considered-
Michigan
Wichita State
Duquesne
Oklahoma State
Dayton
Wichita State
UTEP
Washington State
Marshall
Princeton
Colorado
BUBBLE GAMES THIS WEEKEND-
Saturday:
Missouri at Kansas State
James Madison at VCU
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Wichita State at Missouri State
Boston College at Virginia
Nebraska at Iowa State
Loyola Chicago at Butler
Miami at FSU
Memphis at UTEP
Alabama at Mississippi
Wake Forest at Clemson
Texas at Colorado
Michigan at Minnesota
Columbia at Princeton
UAB at Houston
Colorado State at Air Force
South Carolina at Georgia
Iowa at Illinois
Southern Miss at UCF
Richmond at Charlotte
Duquesne at St Louis
New Mexico at TCU
Duke at Virginia Tech
Texas A&M at Baylor
Portland at St. Mary’s
Sunday:
Xavier at Dayton
Providence at Marquette
Maryland at UNC
Washington State at Washington
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