Bracketology- February 11th, 2011
This week we have the opportunity to take a look at the brackets before we move into the weekend. The bubble is just as wild as it was a few days ago. At the top of the bracket I moved Pittsburgh up to the first line for now, but I do believe come tournament time that Duke can easily gain it back from Pittsburgh. It will be very difficult for Pitt to continue winning and anything short of a Big East title will probably send them to the 2 line, assuming a team like Duke wins the ACC.
In terms of the bubble I moved Penn State out and Clemson in. The Nittany Lions are falling and if they can’t win on the road, they certainly can’t afford to lose at home. It looks like they will once again fall short. Tuesday Clemson defeated Boston College, a 10 seed, and now moves to 17-7 (6-4 in the ACC). They don’t have a whole lot of big wins, but a variety of decent ones. At this point their resume is better than those just outside, and they have a big chance when they host UNC tomorrow. Baylor remains in, but looking at their resume its very hard to keep them in with the lack of quality wins. They are in only because they are 6-4 in the Big 12, and they must continue to play at that level to make it. The cluster of UAB, UTEP and Memphis is very tough to judge. They didn’t exactly have a great showing out of conference, yet still have combined to put together some good RPI numbers. Colorado State is a team that I’d group with them, kind of strange, unproven and maybe overrated with the numbers.
One thing I’d like to point out is some of the resources I use to put this together each week. First of all, I use the RPI numbers which the NCAA uses when putting together the bracket. I also use the site kenpom.com, a truly great collaboration of stats and rankings by Ken Pomeroy. Between the rankings of the RPI and kenpom its a good starting measure. I also like to look at other brackets and what people are thinking, for that I use the Bracket Matrix, a site that collaborates all the brackets and averages them. I have recently started adding my bracket to the site, so you can check it out there against all the others.
Here are links to some of those sites I mentioned:
Anyway that’s all for now, I’ll be back with a new Bracket on Monday.
1 Seeds-
Ohio State
Kansas
Pittsburgh
Texas
2 Seeds-
Duke
BYU
San Diego State
Notre Dame
3 Seeds-
Georgetown
Wisconsin
Purdue
Villanova
4 Seeds-
UConn
Florida
Kentucky
UNC
5 Seeds-
Syracuse
Louisville
Arizona
Texas A&M
6 Seeds-
West Virginia
Vanderbilt
Illinois
Missouri
7 Seeds-
Temple
Xavier
Cincinnati
UNLV
8 Seeds-
Tennessee
St. John’s
Minnesota
Florida State
9 Seeds-
Washington
St. Mary’s
UCLA
George Mason
10 Seeds-
Kansas State
Virginia Tech
Boston College
Michigan State
11 Seeds-
Utah State
Georgia
Oklahoma State
Old Dominion
12 Seeds-
Missouri State
UTEP
Clemson
UAB
Baylor
Richmond
13 Seeds-
Coastal Carolina
Harvard
Belmont
Butler
14 Seeds-
Oakland
Charleston
Bucknell
Vermont
15 Seeds-
Fairfield
Long Beach State
Murray State
Florida Atlantic
16 Seeds-
Jackson State
Hampton
Stephen F Austin
Buffalo
Long Island
Northern Colorado
Last Four In
Clemson
Baylor
Richmond
UAB
Last Four Out
Memphis
Colorado State
Maryland
Wichita State
Next Four Out
New Mexico
Washington State
VCU
Alabama
Also Considered
Penn State
Cleveland State
Duquesne
Nebraska
Southern Mississippi
Michigan
Butler
Gonzaga
Miami FL
Bids by Conference-
Big East-11
Big 12- 7
ACC-6
Big Ten-6
SEC-5
MWC-3
Pac Ten-3
A10-3
CUSA-2
CAA-2
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